Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000088 0.000095 0.000103 0.000112 0.000123 0.000135
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000086 0.000095 0.000105 0.000117 0.000132 0.000150
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000082 0.000092 0.000104 0.000119 0.000137 0.000161
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000079 0.000089 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000170
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088 0.000103 0.000122 0.000147 0.000182
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000155 0.000199
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000073 0.000085 0.000102 0.000125 0.000157 0.000205
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000070 0.000082 0.000099 0.000123 0.000155 0.000208
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000121 0.000155 0.000211
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000076 0.000093 0.000117 0.000151 0.000209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000094 0.000120 0.000158 0.000224
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123 0.000166 0.000243
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000094 0.000123 0.000168 0.000253
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000095 0.000127 0.000178 0.000279
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000095 0.000127 0.000181 0.000291
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000093 0.000127 0.000183 0.000302
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000072 0.000094 0.000129 0.000190 0.000324
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000133 0.000200 0.000356
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000200 0.000364
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000068 0.000090 0.000128 0.000197 0.000362
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000126 0.000195 0.000366
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000064 0.000085 0.000121 0.000188 0.000354